Saturday, April 3, 2010

2010 Predictions

Once again, I will try to pick the winners of each division. Once again, it will probably be wrong, to some capacity. I will try again anyway.

In no way am I trying to "wrong" anyone by picking their team in a certain order. I base this on offseason moves (by team and division rivals), statistics, personal observations and hunches. I do not base this on friendship to any bloggers or fans of any team. There is no bias in these decisions. If I thought the White Sox had the worst team in the AL Central division, I would pick them to be in fifth, but I don't think that for this year's team... so I won't.

On the other side of the coin, if I thought the Cubs had the best team in the NL Central, I would pick them to be in first place. I don't, so I won't.

American League East:
1. Red Sox
2. Rays
3. Yankees
4. Orioles
5. Blue Jays

A traditionally tough division. The Red Sox should prevail in a tight race. The Yankees will fade for awhile at some point in the season, whether it happens early or late is debatable.

American League Central:
1. White Sox
2. Tigers
3. Twins
4. Indians
5. Royals

The White Sox pitching should find them on top of a weak division. If the hitting experiments work out, look for them to be on top by a lot. The Twins will stumble this season adjusting to life outside of the dome. The Indians will rebound from their gutting, just not enough to contend. The Royals additions only shuffled their Rolodex.

American League West:
1. Mariners
2. Rangers
3. Angels
4. Athletics

Look for the Mariners and the Rangers to dine on the rest of their division. The Angels are the biggest question mark in the division. They look weaker, but looks could prove deceiving. The Athletics aren't ready for contention this year.

American League Wild Card: Rangers

American League team that will surprise people: Indians

National League East:
1. Phillies
2. Marlins
3. Mets
4. Braves
5. Nationals

The Phillies made moves, but seemed to stay in the same place. Look for them to stay on top. The Mets and Braves continue to make questionable moves, but the Braves are focusing on the future more than the present. The Nationals will contend in a few years, if they continue like this past winter.

National League Central:
1. Cardinals
2. Cubs
3. Reds
4. Brewers
5. Pirates
6. Astros

This could be the last year the Cardinals will have enough to win this weak division. They should take advantage of that. The Cubs have a lot of glitz, but still have enough holes to keep them from the top. The Reds could have a decent year. Look for the Pirates to surprise a lot of people this year.

National League West:
1. Rockies
2. Dodgers
3. Padres
4. Giants
5. Diamondbacks

The Rockies and Dodgers could be a dogfight the entire season. The Padres are on the rise, while the Giants are in decline. They will probably flip flop from last season's standings. The Diamondbacks haven't done enough to improve their status this year.

National League Wild Card: Dodgers

National League team that will surprise people: Pirates

Regardless of how many are right or wrong at season's end, this is always a good primer for me before the season starts. Everyone has different opinions of the season and are entitled to those opinions. Right or wrong, these are mine.


longlivethewho said...

So you think the Rays staff will be better than the Yankees? That's a stretch.

Steve Gierman said...

I think the Yankees outfield is very suspect and overall the Yankees lost much more than they gained. The Yanks also gained a starting pitcher that tends to crumble in big games.

The Rays window of opportunity is closing and that could make them dangerous.

Jeremy said...

Hey, Cito Gaston says Toronto's goal is to not finish in the basement. I'm rooting for Baltimore to collapse this year. TO doesn't need another terrible sports team (although we're likely to get it).

Steve Gierman said...

Let's hope Cito Gaston is right, but I wouldn't bet on it this year.

longlivethewho said...

All three teams have lethal offenses, but to be successful in that division I think you need the dominant pitching staff, and the Red Sox and Yankees have the two best. But hey, that's why they're called "predictions", right?

Steve Gierman said...

Exactly. If money spent and what looked good on paper were the keys to the postseason and postseason success, the Yankees would win it all every year. That's why there are variables.

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